I've run the numbers with the birdie pot from last year's hole scores and am making the change that MPO will need to only birdie 5 holes instead of 6 like last year. MA2 and MA3 will still only need ...
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I've run the numbers with the birdie pot from last year's hole scores and am making the change that MPO will need to only birdie 5 holes instead of 6 like last year. MA2 and MA3 will still only need to birdie 3 holes and MA1 will still need to birdie 4 holes.
More in depth:
The first hole selected will be from the set of holes 2, 5, 8, and 15. Then, the next two holes will be selected from the set of holes 4, 6, 7, 9, 11-14. These will be the MA2 and MA3 holes. MA1 will add an additional hole from the set of holes 3, 5, 6, 11, 15-18. And then MPO will add an additional hole from the set of holes 3-5, 11, 15-18.
Super nerd stuff:
Based off of last year's birdie percentages in each of the divisions, this will mean that the birdie pot on average should be hit once out of every 123 rounds in MA2/MA3, 113 rounds in MA1, and 117 rounds in MPO.
If the most birdied holes are selected from each set for each division, the MA2/MA3 division should have a 1.16% chance of hitting the pot, while MA1 should have a 2.53% chance, and MPO should have a 1.96% chance.
If the least birdied holes are selected from each set for each division, the MA2/MA3 division should have a 0.59% chance of hitting the pot, while MA1 should have a 0.21% chance, and MPO should have a 0.29% chance.
